QUESTION: You said that in the Iraq War, they dragged out Bush to claim victory in just 6 weeks yet it took 8 years to finish. Do you see Trump declaring victory soon as well?
ANSWER: There is no question that President Donald Trump wants to declare victory ASAP. The problem is that Tehran also gets to vote on that subject and so does Netanyahu. It is true that the US has eliminated Iran’s navy, and much of its missile stockpile has also been destroyed, along with the assassinations of the Ayatollah and top leaders that was Netanyahu’s objectives. On the surface, it appears that Trump is nearing the goals his military leaders. However, he has not accomplished regime change, which has been Netanyahu’s #1 goal. If Trump attempts to exist, he may find that Netanyahu will take action to drag the US in deeper.
Israel’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has said Israel “acted alone” in attacking an Iranian gas field, as tensions mount over strikes on energy infrastructure across the region. This is my point. We are NOT in full control of this war not matter what verbiage is used to not legally call this a war. Iran has retaliated striking the gas fields of Qatar. Let’s be clear here, while the US and Israel claim they devasted Iran. they are now using the more sophisticated missiles and they have been planning for this for a long time. We publicly said that a second carrier group was being sent and this too was a signal for they to prepare for the end-game war.
Netanyahu has played Trump for a fool. He has achieved his goal drag American into this war spending billions. Some of the objectives that President Trump continues to espouse simply cannot be achieved without physical boots on the ground. There is no way to secure the claimed uranium without a physical presence. Netanyahu has been claiming three state were pursuing nuclear weapons since he testified before Congress in 2002. He should let Israel do that since they have been playing the nuclear card since for at least 24 years.
Trump may be forced to send in ground troops to try to secure the shoreline of the Strait of Hormuz. Something else on the table is sending in troops to seized their Kharg Island. Seizing the island holds enormous risk when the support for Trump in the war is marginal at best. Seizing Kharg Island may ignite a full-scale war by Iran against energy infrastructure across the Persian Gulf. A widening conflict in the Middle East involving the destruction of oil fields ports, and natural gas storage depots could send crude prices soaring which our computer has been warning we may yet see $200 oil. This combined with our Economic Confidence Model projecting global recession between 2024 into 2028 has been spot on. If Trump send boots on the ground, it may be late April into May/June.
Keep in mind that we entered Afghanistan in the war on terror. Bin Laden was killed in 2011. But we did not leave Afghanistan with a tail between out leges for 11 more years. Iran is going to look at how we have fought wars and that includes Iraq. They have been preparing for a long time. You have had Netanyahu running around screaming they have nukes soe we must destroy Iran. If they had nukes, we would not be invading. It is unlikely that Iran has any nuclear bomb. What they could have done is construct suitcase-dirty-bombs and spread them around the USA, EU, and perhaps even Israel.
The one thing I have come to comprehend in my study of various conflicts, is that you do NOT necessarily need a god or some supreme leader to fight an on going was of attrition for time is on Iran’s side, the one thing that is required to keep going is not some god, but a devil. As long as you can hate an adversary, then you will continue to fight. I totally disagree with Netanyahu’s strategy of decapitating the heads of so0me group or nation, for such assassinations only feed the image of the Devil. The USA and Israel are the Devils and anyone who thinks this will end is a fool. This has created another generation of terrorists.
As far as UAE is concerned, it was the largest airport in the region with some 90 million passengers passing through. It was part of the Abraham Accords and even conducted joint military exercises with Israel. A Saudi academic on TV accused UAE as operating in the interest of Zionists in the Arab world. He also accused the UAE of funding activists in Yemen who operated against Saudi’s interests. Over the last 18 months, there has been an unreported alliance forming between Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan.It is essentially a NATO-like treaty with a mutual defense clause like Article 5 aligning all three nation states. The Saudis bring the unprecedented finance, Turkey brings the largest military to the deal but it is also a member of NATO so it brings more than the 2nd largest army in NATO, it brings intelligence. Pakistan brings the nuclear weapons since it is also the fastest growing nuclear arsenal in the world and it also has ballistic missiles. So why the Neocons have been focused on Iran and Iraq for nuclear weapons, they missed the fact that Pakistan has in fact brought a nuclear alliance to the Sunni Muslims which is not so friendly to Israel.
UAE was deliberately not invited to this ne Middle East NATO framework. Saudi Arabia on TV even said publicly that UAE is a problem. They have sought to overthrow UAE as the financial capital of the Middle East. This is why Tehran rained down more missiles on UAE than they did on Israel. What is unfolding here is the Neocons seemed to have also not been invited to the party. They have been too arrogant in the presumption of power to pay close attention to a new alliance that will reshape the Middle East from here on out.
The danger of targeting the leadership in Iran is the risk of creating a vacuum whereby that just may be filled not by the Neocon backroom deals, but China and Russia for the excessive bombing and assassinations carried out in Iran has left behind that dark image of the Devil.
Iran is not completely wiped out. They have proxies and sleeper cells along with strategic missiles where they have used the cheap ones so far. How wars are fought is changing. Iran is clearly waging an economic war of attrition and time is on their side.
The Wall Street Journal just published an eye opening report on how NATO is not prepared for war and night is the USA if it attempts to invade with boots on the ground. A single team of some 10 Ukrainians, acting as the adversary, counterattacked the NATO forces. In about half a day they mock-destroyed 17 armored vehicles and conducted 30 “strikes” on other targets. Multiple sources told the story of one commander, who observed the drill and concluded, “We are f—.” They always seem to prepare to fight the last war. But that never happens. Drones and surveillance has change warfare just as they once thought a destroyer, then an aircraft carrier, and of course nuclear weapons would prevent war.
Everyone has an opinion. Sometimes we are right and sometimes we are wrong. Opinions are are always questionable because we are human and prone to not just mistakes, but this can also be biased that means it is skewed to one side or the other. But in time of war, TRUTH is always the first victim. Socrates has no human opinion. That is what has made it so valuable in times of crisis. The Timing Array mapped the rally perfectly. No human can make such a forecast from a gut perspective.
Unfortunately, it looks like Trump has gotten himself into a real jam. He has trusted Netanyahu who could care less about the United States or even Israel. This is all about his personal hatred of Iranians and his Biblical justification for genocide. The computer is still warning we may yet see $200 oil before this is over.
Never forget, Britain was the major power during the American Revolution. Washington fought a gorilla war and won. These Neocons, including Netanyahu, think having the biggest military means victory. History wars that such arrogance is often punished. Carthage was the major power and was defeated by Rome. Persian was the biggest power and was defeated by Alexander the Great. Th examples from history and endless.
