QUESTION: Mr. A, do you see any chance of peace between Russia and Ukraine?
RL
ANSWER: War ends in only one of two ways. Either a knockout punch with total defeat, or surrender due to military or economic exhaustion. Trump has effectively cut off the military funding for Ukraine. For perspective, Russia’s military budget was $66 billion. By the end of 2025, $175 billion was wasted in Ukraine with no accountability.
This is where it becomes a coin flip. Any Neocon dream of defeating Russia will be suicidal for the West. So let’s look at the practical side. With aid cut off from the USA, that means NATO and the EU must step up and fund the war. Italy is already screaming. The only deal would be that Russia surrenders regions it has taken in exchange for the regions in the Donbas that Ukraine still holds, and, in reality, the Minsk Agreement is finally executed, and the Russian people in the Donbas are at last free from Zelensky.
But Zelensky won’t hold an election because he knows he will lose. He and the Duma have been stuffing their pockets unbelievably. They have no personal incentive to hold agree to peace for they will be voted out and the West is so indoctrinated to claim they are fighting for democracy when the entire Minsk Agreement was to allow the Donbas to vote. When Crimea voted to join Russia, they claimed the vote was rigges. Yet the people in the Crimea are Russian. The West refuses to tell the truth about anything.
Normally, this war would be over on sheer attrition and exhaustion. But Europe is desperate for war and they have been selling this to their people. My concern is that they will create some false flag to keep this war going and to justify spending money they do not have to retain power in Brussels. If Ukraine takes the peace, Brussels fears they will fall as the state turn inward.
Beware of October. This is coming to a head.