QUESTION: Mr. Armstrong, you had forecast that Brazil would go into another revolutionary phase in 2026. Given the recent events here in Brazil, I think that forecast you made three years ago is suddenly looking more plausible. Would you provide an update on Brazil?
Thank you
Miguel
ANSWER: Brazil’s history is notably different from many Latin American neighbors; it did not have a bloody, continent-wide war for independence from Portugal (1822), and it has not had a classic, successful popular revolution that completely overthrew the state in a single event (like the French or Russian Revolutions).
However, Brazil has experienced several major events that are officially called “revolutions” and other profound transformations that could be considered revolutionary in impact. The last was a military coup that overthrew President João Goulart in 1964, which was officially called the “Redemptive Revolution” by the generals who led it. They framed it as a necessary action to save the country from communism and chaos. However, historians today universally classify it as a coup d’état that initiated a 21-year-long military dictatorship, not a revolution in the classic sense.
The election of Lula da Silva was an act of economic suicide for Brazil. Silva was elected in 2022 to be the president of Brazil. That was a stunning comeback following a very tight run-off race that was not without controversy. His victory heralded a political about-face for Latin America’s largest country. You can see the economic consequences since the US dollar reversed direction and was projected to reach a major high in 2024. Bolsonaro was ahead of da Silva in the polls for the 2026 election, which is why Lula had him criminally charged, and the courts are too corrupt in Brazil to realize this was not a solution.
The years 2025 and 2026 are Directional Changes. So far, the dollar is an inside trading year. It appears the political uncertainty will rise in 2026, and this should carry Brazil into 2028. The risk of rising volatility will appear in March-April in 2026. The computer projections for Brazil indicate that this will NOT end nicely. Brazil has still been able to sell bonds abroad. For example, it sold $2.75 billion in dollar-denominated sovereign bonds in June 2025. This should start to change in 2026. Interest payments as a share of government revenue in Brazil are running over 30.84%. Interest payments correspond to roughly 7-8% of Brazil’s GDP in recent months.
The current president of Brazil is Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, who is following the LEFTIST world agenda to further this idea of a LEFTIST WORLD GOVERNMENT. This is a deliberate campaign on a global scale that wages political war to inspire hatred. His prosecution of Bolsonaro is a classic example of the leftist tactic to imprison opponents. We saw that attempt with Trump, but Macron used it against Marine Le Pen, and Germany tried to outlaw the AfD.
Other countries that are prosecuting former heads of state include Argentina, Peru, South Korea, France, Israel, Chad, Ivory Coast, Mauritania, Malaysia, Pakistan, and Guinea. Then there is the International Criminal Court, which has also become political, charging crimes against humanity, regarding Vladimir Putin, Rodrigo Duterte, Benjamin Netanyahu, and Min Aung Hlaing.
Now, even Romania is pulling the same LEFTIST tactic at the direction of the EU because NATO is building the largest base in Romania to launch attacks on Russia. Calin Georgescu was against the war that the EU and NATO are directing, so the answer is to criminally abuse the law to again imprison your opponent. This is becoming a WIDESPREAD tactic of the LEFT, and this is all part of the computer’s forecast for 2032. They believe that after World War III, they will get to this time, institutionalize Marxism, and kill any Capitalistic and freedom once and for all.
There is concern within parts of Brazil’s military (and among political observers) about aspects of Lula’s government, but it’s a complex situation. After Lula took office, supporters of former President Jair Bolsonaro stormed several government buildings in Brasília. There has been substantial evidence that some security forces, including military police and possibly elements in the armed forces, either failed to act or had persons sympathetic to Bolsonaro among them.
Lula turned to consolidate loyalty and trust (and to reduce risks of elements sympathetic to a coup or insurrection), Lula’s government has made several changes:
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The Army’s top commander, Gen. Júlio Cesar de Arruda, was replaced by Gen. Tomás Miguel Ribeiro Paiva.
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Some military appointments and posts have been blocked or changed, especially where there was concern over loyalty.
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The intelligence agency, previously under military or security oversight, has come under more civilian control.
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Our sources there confirm that there are many in the military who are very uneasy about being drawn into politics, about their institutional reputation, and about purges or dismissals (even if legally justified) that they see as politicized. But that doesn’t necessarily mean they uniformly oppose Lula or his policies.
Lula’s attempt to use the legal system to shut down all opposition is highly dangerous, and this will become the source of the next revolution. Brazil is DOOMED!!!! Legally, Bolsonaro’s conviction over the coup plot is NOT universally accepted—there are appeals, dissenting opinions, and charges of political motivation, especially from Bolsonaro’s supporters. Some in the military (especially those who supported him) likely see the convictions as politically motivated or unfair; others see them as a necessary response to threats against democracy. But Lula is the real threat to democracy, but the LEFT is always the most violent, for they tell their followers that they are the victims of the RIGHT, who are evil and must be destroyed.
The convictions themselves are decisions of the corrupt courts in Brazil, not the military. The military’s concern tends to be more about the implications that the corrupt legal system, like we have seen in the US with compromised judges, that manipulating the law for political uses by the judiciary has set a precedent that many are beginning to see that the only solution to save Brazil again will be a revolution.
A significant tension is the degree of civilian control over the military, and ensuring the military (and police) are neutral and professional rather than being political actors. Lula has tried to assert that, but there are risks of backlash. Then throw in the corrupt legal system of Brazil. The courts are prosecuting individuals, including military personnel. How the military handles those investigations (disciplinary, legal) matters determines whether the institution as a whole accepts the rule of law when the courts are acting as a purge for Lula. The one way to ensure a future revolution was to imprison Bolsonaro.
A significant portion of Brazil’s military is deeply concerned about political instability, the risk of being caught in political fights, and the implications of removing or disciplining personnel. But whether that counts as being “concerned about the left agenda” or “afraid of Lula imprisoning Bolsonaro” depends a lot on which part of the military, how high up, and how closely connected to Bolsonaro or his supporters they are.
Even the Telegraph has noticed that Obama is fanning the political divide in the United States, as part of an agenda to use WWIII to redesign the United States in the aftermath, similar to how Bretton Woods, the creation of the UN, and the IMF all came after WWII. Obama is blaming Trump for dividing the country as if the LEFT has nothing to do with it.
Obama is an extreme leftist player in this game. After leaving office, Barack Obama chose to remain in Washington, D.C., which some interpret as a way to maintain influence in politics. His continued presence has led to speculation about his involvement in political matters and support for Democratic candidates. Sources have long said that Obama is really a closet racist, and that has colored his leftist agenda, which he has sold quietly behind the scenes. Hw is the ONLY former President who has refused to leave politics in Washington. While the press loves him, he is much more of a dedicated zealot to his political philosophy than most are ever willing to put in print.